Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007879 0.009282 0.010970 0.013182 0.016056 0.019739 0.024944
2025-04-20 0.006326 0.008077 0.010445 0.014008 0.019479 0.028040 0.043621
2025-04-27 0.005410 0.007276 0.010002 0.014522 0.022399 0.036957 0.070578
2025-05-04 0.004691 0.006541 0.009400 0.014496 0.024312 0.045213 0.105849
2025-05-11 0.004165 0.005978 0.008908 0.014457 0.026121 0.054478 0.159021
2025-05-18 0.003702 0.005429 0.008318 0.014054 0.026999 0.062272 0.226266
2025-05-25 0.003284 0.004892 0.007649 0.013322 0.026845 0.067265 0.299012
2025-06-01 0.002970 0.004488 0.007152 0.012819 0.027064 0.073817 0.413438
2025-06-08 0.002805 0.004318 0.007054 0.013136 0.029565 0.091266 0.757741
2025-06-15 0.002610 0.004071 0.006772 0.012976 0.030685 0.104869 1.286981
2025-06-22 0.002383 0.003745 0.006296 0.012265 0.029870 0.108779 1.775988
2025-06-29 0.002258 0.003594 0.006146 0.012313 0.031547 0.128847 3.955738
2025-07-06 0.002154 0.003486 0.006100 0.012692 0.034919 0.169741 23.049632
2025-07-13 0.002086 0.003438 0.006177 0.013440 0.040382 0.249355 NaN
2025-07-20 0.002002 0.003351 0.006157 0.013924 0.045293 0.356895 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001894 0.003204 0.005979 0.013899 0.047970 0.462865 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001796 0.003068 0.005809 0.013862 0.050673 0.607848 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001688 0.002903 0.005551 0.013481 0.051302 0.726746 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001574 0.002715 0.005218 0.012790 0.049721 0.773666 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001481 0.002566 0.004963 0.012314 0.049245 0.873441 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001436 0.002514 0.004938 0.012614 0.054086 1.375246 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001372 0.002417 0.004793 0.012463 0.055834 1.840908 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001289 0.002274 0.004518 0.011790 0.053316 1.865792 NaN